Projecting the Potential Impacts of COVID-19 School Closures on Academic Achievement. EdWorkingPaper No. 20-226 / Megan Kuhfeld, James Soland and Beth Tarasawa.

With 55 million students in the United States out of school due to the COVID-19 pandemic, education systems are scrambling to meet the needs of schools and families, including planning how best to approach instruction in the fall given students may be farther behind than in a typical year. Yet, educ...

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Online Access: Full Text (via ERIC)
Main Authors: Kuhfeld, Megan, Soland, James (Author), Tarasawa, Beth (Author), Johnson, Angela (Author), Ruzek, Erik (Author), Liu, Jing (Author)
Corporate Author: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: [Place of publication not identified] : Distributed by ERIC Clearinghouse, 2020.
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Summary:With 55 million students in the United States out of school due to the COVID-19 pandemic, education systems are scrambling to meet the needs of schools and families, including planning how best to approach instruction in the fall given students may be farther behind than in a typical year. Yet, education leaders have little data on how much learning has been impacted by school closures. While the COVID-19 learning interruptions are unprecedented in modern times, existing research on the impacts of missing school (due to absenteeism, regular summer breaks, and school closures) on learning can nonetheless inform projections of potential learning loss due to the pandemic. In this study, we produce a series of projections of COVID-19-related learning loss and its potential effect on test scores in the 2020-21 school year based on (a) estimates from prior literature and (b) analyses of typical summer learning patterns of five million students. Under these projections, students are likely to return in fall 2020 with approximately 63-68% of the learning gains in reading relative to a typical school year and with 37-50% of the learning gains in math. However, we estimate that losing ground during the COVID-19 school closures would not be universal, with the top third of students potentially making gains in reading. Thus, in preparing for fall 2020, educators will likely need to consider ways to support students who are academically behind and further differentiate instruction.
Item Description:Availability: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. Brown University Box 1985, Providence, RI 02912. Tel: 401-863-7990; Fax: 401-863-1290; e-mail: AISR_Info@brown.edu; Web site: http://www.annenberginstitute.org.
Abstractor: As Provided.
Educational level discussed: Elementary Secondary Education.
Educational level discussed: Early Childhood Education.
Educational level discussed: Elementary Education.
Educational level discussed: Grade 3.
Educational level discussed: Primary Education.
Educational level discussed: Grade 4.
Educational level discussed: Intermediate Grades.
Educational level discussed: Grade 5.
Educational level discussed: Middle Schools.
Educational level discussed: Grade 6.
Educational level discussed: Grade 7.
Educational level discussed: Junior High Schools.
Educational level discussed: Secondary Education.
Physical Description:1 online resource (57 pages)